Jaguars

[VeveJones007]

This game looks a lot better than it did two days ago. Jags are imploding, Bortles is benched even though he regularly kills the Colts, Norwell is hurt, and Fornette is out.

Last week I thought this was a toss-up. Now I’d have the Colts as 3-4pt favorites on the road.

[Chaka]

Originally Posted by VeveJones007

This game looks a lot better than it did two days ago. Jags are imploding, Bortles is benched even though he regularly kills the Colts, Norwell is hurt, and Fornette is out.

Last week I thought this was a toss-up. Now I’d have the Colts as 3-4pt favorites on the road.

Early line has us as 4.5 point favorites. I'm honestly surprised it's that low, given the change in QB and Fournette being out. I mean, JAX lost to the Bills last week.

[sherck]

Originally Posted by Chaka

Early line has us as 4.5 point favorites. I'm honestly surprised it's that low, given the change in QB and Fournette being out. I mean, JAX lost to the Bills last week.

Did you watch our offense do absolutely nothing in the 2nd and 3rd quarters against a porrly ranked TEN defense?

4.5 points seems just about right!


Walk Worthy,

[Racehorse]

Originally Posted by sherck

Did you watch our offense do absolutely nothing in the 2nd and 3rd quarters against a porrly ranked TEN defense?

4.5 points seems just about right!


Walk Worthy,

Miami defense?

[Chaka]

Originally Posted by sherck

Did you watch our offense do absolutely nothing in the 2nd and 3rd quarters against a porrly ranked TEN defense?

4.5 points seems just about right!


Walk Worthy,

Yes, and I also watched us beat TEN by 28 points (and TEN did not have a poorly ranked defense at the time - if I recall correctly they were 2nd or 3rd overall, and even now are 10th according to ESPN after beat downs by the Colts and HOU).

I'll add that our average margin of victory, even after last week's narrow escape over Miami, is over 15 points. Not to mention the fact that JAX is 3-8, and is changing QBs and their central RB will be out unless the suspension is overturned.

All I'm saying is that I'm surprised we aren't something like 7 point favorites under these circumstances.

[VeveJones007]

Originally Posted by Chaka

Yes, and I also watched us beat TEN by 28 points (and TEN did not have a poorly ranked defense at the time - if I recall correctly they were 2nd or 3rd overall, and even now are 10th according to ESPN after beat downs by the Colts and HOU).

I'll add that our average margin of victory, even after last week's narrow escape over Miami, is over 15 points. Not to mention the fact that JAX is 3-8, and is changing QBs and their central RB will be out unless the suspension is overturned.

All I'm saying is that I'm surprised we aren't something like 7 point favorites under these circumstances.

You can't just cherry-pick the wins. On average, the Colts have scored about 4 more ppg than their opponents this season. Given that the game is on the road to a team the Colts only beat by 3 a few weeks ago, -4 is completely reasonable.

[Racehorse]

Originally Posted by Chaka

Yes, and I also watched us beat TEN by 28 points (and TEN did not have a poorly ranked defense at the time - if I recall correctly they were 2nd or 3rd overall, and even now are 10th according to ESPN after beat downs by the Colts and HOU).

I'll add that our average margin of victory, even after last week's narrow escape over Miami, is over 15 points. Not to mention the fact that JAX is 3-8, and is changing QBs and their central RB will be out unless the suspension is overturned.

All I'm saying is that I'm surprised we aren't something like 7 point favorites under these circumstances.

I think he meant Miami defense, not Tennessee.

[VeveJones007]

Originally Posted by Chaka

Early line has us as 4.5 point favorites. I'm honestly surprised it's that low, given the change in QB and Fournette being out. I mean, JAX lost to the Bills last week.

Add 3 points for home-field and that line says the Colts are +7.5 on a neutral field. That's a big spread for a 6-5 team against anyone.