It's official - Colts name Shane Steichen as Head Coach

[Dam8610]

Originally Posted by ChaosTheory

As we sit, I have a hard time imagining there won't be movement. We have SEA, DET, and LV immediately behind us in the draft and Carolina is only at #9.

Colts can hold at 4 and take last man standing between Young, Stroud, and Levis if they legitimately don't care who they get. But if they do like a guy, whoever it is, they risk getting leapfrogged and missing him.

This is why trading to 1 is important for the Colts. The #1 pick is basically only accessible to 2 teams without a massive overpay: the Colts, and the Texans. That's because at 2 they still get their pick of Jalen Carter and Will Anderson, while at 4, they have a near 100% chance of getting one of the two. At 5, it's unlikely they'll get either, meaning the dropoff in value between the 4th and 5th pick for the Bears is steep. That's why you shouldn't believe all the hype going on out there about how the Bears are going to wring every last bit of draft capital out of whoever they trade with. Bears fans will likely be disappointed with what amounts to a modest overpay for one of the Colts or Texans (hopefully the Colts) to move to 1.

While trading to 1 is less than accessible to those teams you mention, trading to 3 might not be. So unless the Colts are comfortable getting their third choice of QB in this class, trading up to 1 is almost a must.